2022 Draft Lottery Chances

The following table shows the 2022 lottery chances

If you have questions please refer to Section 5.3 of the league rules for details of how these are calculated.

Team   Record thru Week 9Chances based
on weeks 1-9
Points Weeks 9-14Chances based
on points wks 9-14
Total Chances
OCD1-712360315
HVV2-610287.5111
KEY4-4-16330.528
MIA5-3-1 (0.687)2401.5*4.5*6.5*
CTW3-5-18408.5614
BOX5-3 (0.625)4401.5*4.5*8.5*

*MIA and BOX have identical points for the timeframe and we have no tiebreaker defined. Each team will get half a chance by adding one unique-colored die to the lottery jar, and if that die is pulled there will be a coin flip for either BOX or MIA.

The teams have agreed to this approach, MIA has called “tails.”

The coin flip will happen unless both MIA and BOX have already been selected. If one team has been selected already, the coin flip still happens. Example: TEAM1 has already been selected but TEAM2 has not. The unique die is pulled from the jar. The coin is still flipped. If TEAM1 wins the coin flip, the die is discarded since TEAM1 had already been selected. If TEAM2 wins the coin flip, they get the selection since they had not previously been pulled from the jar.